By Fauxile Kibet
A report released by the United States intelligence agencies has indicated that Kenya, Somalia and Ethiopia will continue facing political instability in coming months.
According to a scientific report released during the 48th Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF48) currently being held in Mombasa Kenya, there are indicators of a potential La Nina that may occur during the second quarter of 2018 in the region.
Experts who spoke during the conference called on all countries in the region to keenly monitor the situation so as to adequately formulate contingency plans to reduce the impact on the people living in the affected countries.
The report further indicates that the La Nina period will mostly be experienced by the IGAD countries which include; Djibouti, Ethiopia, Eritrea, Kenya, Somalia, the Sudan, South Sudan and Uganda.
La Nina, according to the experts could trigger severe hunger and lack of water for both humans and livestock and potentially increase conflict between different communities who will fight over scarce resources. There is also a likelihood of increased human and animal migration as they seek to flee from the raging drought.
The meeting according to Kenya’s Environment and Forestry Principal Secretary Charles Sunkuli brought together experts from all IGAD member states with an aim of building a consensus on weather outlook before the long rains.
“I urge climate experts from Igad member states which include Ethiopia, Somali, Burundi, Djibouti, Eritrea, Uganda, Sudan, South Sudan and Kenya to partner in addressing the weather challenges as climate information plays a critical role in the socio-economic development of any country.”
Kenya’s Meteorological Department however said that a full report on the impact of the forecast on Kenya will be released soon but noted that lower rain periods are likely to be experienced in the coming months.